ROLLING FORECAST

Monday may really turn out to be a good day if the inversion does not drop down as it did today (and yesterday)
Monday 23

A sharp inversion at 6500ft
Some stratus at 4400 - 5000ft

Surface wind W20, W30 at 5000ft WNW 50 at 10000ft, WNW 70 at 15000ft and WNW 60 at 20000ft
Wave from 8300ft at 3.5ms,. through to 24000ft at 1.2
Max temp 22, dewpoint 10, trigger 19.9, expect 1.3 - 2.0ms to 6800ft
all blue


**This day is remarkebly similar to 14 November 2004 when we all did very long flights (5*1000) - on the inversion is more pronounced but it is quite acceptable at 6800ft (it is however about 3 degrees cooler than was 14 [December]2004 - adjusted to early October it is probably the same.**


**Tuesday 24**
The inversion now drops back to 5000ft with 3/8 stratus - cu at 3100 with tops at 5100
Wind Southerly 20 increasing to 30 at 5000ft, 40 at 10000ft, 60 at 15000 [we seldom get southerlies this high] and SW 70 at 20000ft

Wave from 8500ft at 2.5ms 12200ft at 3.3, 16400ft at 2.4
Max 18C, dewpoint 8, trigger at 16.2
expect 0.9 - 1.5ms to 5200ft


**Wednesday 25**

Strong SE, surface 30, ESE40 at 5000ft, SE10 at 10000ft, SW 10 at 15000ft, SW230 at 20000ft
blue

Max 20, dewpoint 1, Trigger 17,5
Expect 1.1 - 1.8ms to 6600ft
It should be quite possible to do 700km on wednesday but expect it to be turbulent and you have to fly the ridges to Vrye's Rant.

How wrong can you be!!!

EY