Thursday, 29 November 2007

A (serious) training weekend

Hopefully we can get the right weather lined up for Doc (here to train for Omarama)

Saturday
Possibility of CuNimb - probably on the plateau and hail 5mm
Surface wind - SE10, 5000ft E10, 10000ft NW10, 15000ft NW 30, 20000ft WNW30
Wave consistently from 12000ft up (again, the expectation would be for wave at lower levels in our valley)
Cloud BLUE
Max 27.3 Dewpoint 12.6 Trigger 25.1
Expect 1.2 ms - 1.5 ms to 6000ft

Sunday
Hold on to your hats - RAOB says there is a warm front on Sunday!!
"Anabatic warm front, 374km to the WSW vertical motion 73meters/hr
Cloud and precipitation ahead of the surface front.

That brings with it the possibility of CuNimb and HAIL size 4mm
Surface wind - WSW 30, 5000ft W30, 10000ft NW 70, 15000ft NW 90 (peaking at 100 at 13000ft!!!, 20000ft NW 80
Wave at 8200ft at 2.6ms and 18800ft at 3.5ms
Cloud BLUE
Max 25.5 Dewpoint 12.6 Trigger 23.9
Expect 1.2 ms - 1.6 ms to 6200ft
BLUE thermals

SAWB (apples) for Sunday
Olifants R ValSW 25 14 24 35% Fine, cloudy at first
Sandveld SW 25 13 25 Fine, cloudy at first
Swartland SW 20 12 25 Fine, cloudy overnight
Winelands SW 20 14 25 Fine, cloudy overnight
Cape PeninsulaSW 25 15 22 Partly cloudy, light rain overnight (30%, 00-05mm).
Grabouw SW 25 10 24 Partly cloudy, light rain overnight (30%, 05mm).
Ruens SW 15 14 26 Fine, cloudy at first
Garden route SW 20 15 22 Partly cloudy, morning fog
Breede Val. S SW 15 15 27 Fine
Breede Val. N SW 15 15 29 Fine
S-ern Karoo NW 30 16 31 Afternoon isolated thundershowers (30%, 00-05mm).
Klein Karoo W 25 17 32 Afternoon isolated thundershowers (30%, 30mm).
Kouebokkeveld SW 20 11 26 Fine

The weather patern is not yet there, but it is going in the right direction.

EY

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