As at Friday evening it is blue skies and no wind, but the prediction is for lots of cloud and wind by 14h00 tomorrow at Worcester - we shall see!
Saturday
The sounding is moist from the surface all the way up which is consistent withe forecast of rain.
Surface wind - 20NW, 5000ft 50NW, 10000ft 70NW, 15000ft 100NWN, 20000ft 130NW
Strong surface turbulence, but too strong for convective gusts. Shear is 24m/s per 4km
Rain is NOT forecast on the sounding
Wave ONLY at 45000ft!!!
Cloud 3-5/8 from 2000ft to 27000ft
Max 12.3 Dewpoint 108 Trigger 15.5CExpect not much 0 J/kg
Sunday
A nice kink in the sounding - showing an inversion at 10000ft - this should make for a nice day's flying in weak thermic conditions
Surface wind - NW20, 5000ft NW 30, 10000ft W 60, 15000ft W70,20000ft W60
Strong surface turbulence!!!Shear drops to 12ms per 4km
Wave from 12000ft upwards, but i would expect it much lower in the valley ;-)
Cloud - low scud clouds - 3000ft - 5000ft
Max 15.4 Dewpoint 9.3 Trigger 14.9Expect 0.9 ms - 1.2 ms to 5000ft
Nice flying
Friday, 12 June 2009
Friday, 5 June 2009
The Jonker Sailplanes & Soaring Safaris Challenge
There are few prizes in gliding - here is a new one.
This from the manufacturers of the JS1 in conjunction with Dick Bradley
Jonker Sailplanes and Soaring Safaris are pleased to announce a new prize for South African glider pilots. Jointly sponsored by Jonker Sailplanes and Soaring Safaris, the prize is intended to encourage and reward up and coming pilots. The prize is one week’s gliding at New Tempe, including use of a glider, launches and coaching.
The Prize:
· One week flying an LS4 or similar glider with Soaring Safaris (dates to be agreed)
· Seven aerotows
· Task planning, post-flight analysis and cross-country coaching
· Free camping at New Tempe Airfield
Rules:
1. Scoring is based on the OLC system and handicaps, limited to out & returns and triangles.
2. Flights have to be registered and validated on OLC.
3. A pilot’s total score for the JS-SS Challenge is the sum of the pilot’s three best flights.
4. Minimum qualifying score is 600 points.
5. Eligibility: pilots who have not achieved a top three placing at a National contest, or who have not previously won the JS/SS Challenge, or have not completed a declared 500km task.
6. Pilots must be paid up members of SSSA with a valid GPL and aerotow rating.
7. Closing date for flights: 15 November 2009.
8. That’s enough rules ....
Good luck.
And it is aimed at the up and coming pilots!! 560 points in one flight would be Renosterhoek - Huguenot Tunnel - Renosterhoek - FAWC in an Astir. Now put 3 of those together and you are set for a week's flying with Dick.
Go for it.!!!!!!!
EY
This from the manufacturers of the JS1 in conjunction with Dick Bradley
Jonker Sailplanes and Soaring Safaris are pleased to announce a new prize for South African glider pilots. Jointly sponsored by Jonker Sailplanes and Soaring Safaris, the prize is intended to encourage and reward up and coming pilots. The prize is one week’s gliding at New Tempe, including use of a glider, launches and coaching.
The Prize:
· One week flying an LS4 or similar glider with Soaring Safaris (dates to be agreed)
· Seven aerotows
· Task planning, post-flight analysis and cross-country coaching
· Free camping at New Tempe Airfield
Rules:
1. Scoring is based on the OLC system and handicaps, limited to out & returns and triangles.
2. Flights have to be registered and validated on OLC.
3. A pilot’s total score for the JS-SS Challenge is the sum of the pilot’s three best flights.
4. Minimum qualifying score is 600 points.
5. Eligibility: pilots who have not achieved a top three placing at a National contest, or who have not previously won the JS/SS Challenge, or have not completed a declared 500km task.
6. Pilots must be paid up members of SSSA with a valid GPL and aerotow rating.
7. Closing date for flights: 15 November 2009.
8. That’s enough rules ....
Good luck.
And it is aimed at the up and coming pilots!! 560 points in one flight would be Renosterhoek - Huguenot Tunnel - Renosterhoek - FAWC in an Astir. Now put 3 of those together and you are set for a week's flying with Dick.
Go for it.!!!!!!!
EY
Thursday, 4 June 2009
Le weekend 6 June, and 447
Cold does not mean no thermals!!! The predicted low cloud should be no problem. Also interesting is what should be southerly wave on Sunday. Saturday should have Diamonds to offer!!!!
Saturday
Surface wind - WSW20, 5000ft WSW30, 10000ft SW60, 15000ft SW 70, 20000ft WSW 80Medium strong surface turbulence, and light from 7000ft - 10000ftStrong inversion above 7000ftWindshear is 15ms/4-kmWave from 8200ft to 30000ft 2.5m/sCloud Surface to 7000ft 1 - 5/8Max 13.6 Dewpoint 8.8 Trigger 13.5Expect .7 ms - 1.2 ms to 5000ft
Sunday
Surface wind - S 10, 5000ft S10, 10000ft S40, 15000ft S30,20000ft S40Shear is low at 8ms/4km and only light CAT surface and again at 5 - 7000ftWave from 10000ft upwards (not often that we have southerly wave!!!)Cloud 1-3/8 from 2500 - 5000ftMax 13.8 Dewpoint 7.1 Trigger 13.3Expect 0.8 ms - 1.3 ms to ft 5300ft.
Flight 447
I did a RAOB analysis of the model soundings around the time and place of disappearance and these soundings show nothing out of the ordinary - only low category storms (not even multi of supercells), no or little windshear, no or little CAT or HIGH CAT, and NO lightning. This accord with Tim Vasquez' far more detailed analysis. Puzzling! It looks like a midair or in flight disintegration.
EY
Saturday
Surface wind - WSW20, 5000ft WSW30, 10000ft SW60, 15000ft SW 70, 20000ft WSW 80Medium strong surface turbulence, and light from 7000ft - 10000ftStrong inversion above 7000ftWindshear is 15ms/4-kmWave from 8200ft to 30000ft 2.5m/sCloud Surface to 7000ft 1 - 5/8Max 13.6 Dewpoint 8.8 Trigger 13.5Expect .7 ms - 1.2 ms to 5000ft
Sunday
Surface wind - S 10, 5000ft S10, 10000ft S40, 15000ft S30,20000ft S40Shear is low at 8ms/4km and only light CAT surface and again at 5 - 7000ftWave from 10000ft upwards (not often that we have southerly wave!!!)Cloud 1-3/8 from 2500 - 5000ftMax 13.8 Dewpoint 7.1 Trigger 13.3Expect 0.8 ms - 1.3 ms to ft 5300ft.
Flight 447
I did a RAOB analysis of the model soundings around the time and place of disappearance and these soundings show nothing out of the ordinary - only low category storms (not even multi of supercells), no or little windshear, no or little CAT or HIGH CAT, and NO lightning. This accord with Tim Vasquez' far more detailed analysis. Puzzling! It looks like a midair or in flight disintegration.
EY
Wednesday, 3 June 2009
Flight 447
Some analysis of the weather conditions that may have faced flight 447
http://www.weathergraphics.com/tim/af447/
EY
http://www.weathergraphics.com/tim/af447/
EY
Asperatus - a new form of cloud
Asperatus - a new form of cloud!!!
See http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_8076000/8076805.stm
as well as http://cloudappreciationsociety.org/collectors-handbook/
and my photo http://svensoaring.blogspot.com/2009/05/blog-post_21.html below (it does have some asperatus in it)
EY
See http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_8076000/8076805.stm
as well as http://cloudappreciationsociety.org/collectors-handbook/
and my photo http://svensoaring.blogspot.com/2009/05/blog-post_21.html below (it does have some asperatus in it)
EY
... meanwhile in Germany
Meanwhile in Germany it is German Nationals. This from Angelika Fiebig.
Hi, Sven,
thank you for all your mails you sent during the last weeks. Volker got them in Aalen-Elchingen ;-)
Perhaps you know that he is Uli's copilot during the German championships. They are flying V8.
What I just found out ist that the online tracking is working. So if you are interested you can follow several gliders on the homepage. You will find it under "lifevideo". It is not of good quality but it works.
Many happy returns to your family and enjoy the rest of your gliding season.
Angelika
The link is http://www.dsm2009-aalen.de/ - as of yesterday they are in 18th position with Steffen Trapp in the lead. In the 15m class the Bauder and Theisinger families are at the top of the leader board (with Carl Bauder in the lead) and in the standard class Franx Poch is leading with Michael Buchthal in 6th, Gerd Peter Lauer 4th and Mario Kiessling in 3rd and Patrick Gai 22nd - just to give you an idea of how fierce the competition is.
The club class German Nationals is at http://www.lsv-schwarzwald.de/pages/dmwinzeln2009.php and here the Standard Libelle's are ruling the roost, Lutz Seiler in 4th and Matthias Sturm in 6th, with Tobias Welsch in 1st and Jens Becker in 2nd.
EY
Hi, Sven,
thank you for all your mails you sent during the last weeks. Volker got them in Aalen-Elchingen ;-)
Perhaps you know that he is Uli's copilot during the German championships. They are flying V8.
What I just found out ist that the online tracking is working. So if you are interested you can follow several gliders on the homepage. You will find it under "lifevideo". It is not of good quality but it works.
Many happy returns to your family and enjoy the rest of your gliding season.
Angelika
The link is http://www.dsm2009-aalen.de/ - as of yesterday they are in 18th position with Steffen Trapp in the lead. In the 15m class the Bauder and Theisinger families are at the top of the leader board (with Carl Bauder in the lead) and in the standard class Franx Poch is leading with Michael Buchthal in 6th, Gerd Peter Lauer 4th and Mario Kiessling in 3rd and Patrick Gai 22nd - just to give you an idea of how fierce the competition is.
The club class German Nationals is at http://www.lsv-schwarzwald.de/pages/dmwinzeln2009.php and here the Standard Libelle's are ruling the roost, Lutz Seiler in 4th and Matthias Sturm in 6th, with Tobias Welsch in 1st and Jens Becker in 2nd.
EY
World Air Games
The World Air Games are about to start in Turin, Italy. This from Brian Spreckley (fresh from Ocana, Spain where the British Overseas Nationals had just been completed, with Gillian Spreckley winning the last day)
"To all Gliding media, association and club contacts.
The World Air Games Glider racing starts next Sunday, to help all our
gliding friends enjoy the action please can you distribute and display
the message below as widely as possible.
Thanks for your help.
Brian
/One week – Ten Sports – Unlimited Adrenaline/ - The World Air Games is
the world's biggest gathering of air sports.
http://www.worldairgames.org > Some three hundred athletes from forty
one countries and all five continents meet for one week of competition
to determine the World Air Games Champions in ten different air sports.
Some of Glidings top pilots will be battling it out in Grand Prix style
racing starting on June 7th culminating in a final between the top six
pilots on Saturday the 13th .
Races should start around 14.00 CET and you can follow all the action in
real time at http://www.wag2009.com/eng/video/index.htm
For more information about all the events check out.
www.worldairgames.org/2009/media-marketing
To see who is competing go to www.worldairgames.org/2009/athletes
Brian Spreckley"
"To all Gliding media, association and club contacts.
The World Air Games Glider racing starts next Sunday, to help all our
gliding friends enjoy the action please can you distribute and display
the message below as widely as possible.
Thanks for your help.
Brian
/One week – Ten Sports – Unlimited Adrenaline/ - The World Air Games is
the world's biggest gathering of air sports.
http://www.worldairgames.org > Some three hundred athletes from forty
one countries and all five continents meet for one week of competition
to determine the World Air Games Champions in ten different air sports.
Some of Glidings top pilots will be battling it out in Grand Prix style
racing starting on June 7th culminating in a final between the top six
pilots on Saturday the 13th .
Races should start around 14.00 CET and you can follow all the action in
real time at http://www.wag2009.com/eng/video/index.htm
For more information about all the events check out.
www.worldairgames.org/2009/media-marketing
To see who is competing go to www.worldairgames.org/2009/athletes
Brian Spreckley"
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
